Wednesday, July 23, 2008

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MILITARY riding high

The Sri Lanka Army is almost at the doorstep, as it were, of the LTTE’s nerve centre – advancing more than 40 kms from its original positions in north Mannar, Vavuniya and WeliOya.

Air and ground intelligence accurate
Yesterday morning, around 7:30 a.m., a squadron of Kfir and MiG fighters took off, after a briefing by their superiors. Their target was a well fortified, heavily camouflaged Black Tiger training base at Udayaarakattikulam. This base is out of bounds for ordinary cadres. Only dedicated and highly motivated cadres and their instructors are granted admission. Males and females were undergoing training here, and their ‘Passing Out’ parade was to be at the end of this month, according to credible sources from Kilinocchi After breakfast they were given a lecture by their instructor. Some of the cadres simulated a suicide in the base, at the time of the air strike. At least 24 Tigers and an instructor were reported killed and over 30 injured.

Troops moving further into uncontrolled area .Eight soldiers of an advance force lay in wait from Monday (21) morning in the jungle, three kms. east of Ilupaikadavai. They maintained radio silence waiting for LTTE cadres to arrive. The soldiers were armed with T56 rifles and multi-purpose machine guns (MPMGs). Five LTTE cadres were spotted moving in their direction. When the LTTE cadres were close enough, the eight soldiers opened fire simultaneously. They were killed on the spot. After the successful ambush, the soldiers collected the five bodies, along with their weapons, which included a 12.5mm anti-aircraft gun, and reported to their commanding officer.

Brig. Shavendra Silva worked out a plan to capture Ilupaikadavai on July 20. The distance from Vidattaltivu to Ilupaikadavai is 20 kms, but within four days, the troops, led by the elite Commandos, were able to take Ilupaikadavai. A senior officer at the battlefront said, “There was not much resistance from the Tigers and it was not a major issue for us. Our soldiers overcame their resistance though they fired 81 mm mortars at us, and advanced a further 10 km within four days.’ The LTTE had held Ilupaikadavai for the past two decades. During this period, the Sri Lanka Army never conducted any military operations to liberate the A32, Mannar-Pooneryn, Road. This is the first occasion the Army launched an operation to capture the A32 Road. At present, the Army is at the 23rd mile post on the A32 Road.

A senior officer at the battlefront said that, the Army plans to advance further on the A32 Road, because this road is strategically important for the Tigers in their ‘Eelam War IV’. When the Army controls it, all main supply routes to the LTTE will be cut off, he said. A senior battlefront officer said that troops from 58 Division have already advanced about two kms north of Ilupaikadavai town and are consolidating their defences at present. At least 15 LTTE cadres were reported killed during the confrontation. While troops are marching further north of Illuppaikkadavai, the LTTE is trying to bring reinforcements by sea to the battlefront. According to naval sources, the coastal patrol craft deployed along the north-western coastal waters to deny a possible withdrawal or reinforcement of the LTTE cadres by sea was detected and the move repulsed. Later, air support was called in and the boats bombed, the sources said.

The sources confirmed the destruction of six LTTE boats and heavy damage inflicted on the remaining ones. The LTTE boat move was pounded at a location 3 km south off the Nachchikudah coast. The Air Force too confirmed heavy casualties caused to the Tigers. Nachchikudah is situated about 17 kms north of Illupaikadavai town which troops had liberated. Troops are now continuing their march further northwards on the Mannar-Pooneryn Road destroying Tiger defences on their way.

When the Army’s 58 Division captured Vidattaltivu, the LTTE lost its largest and only Sea Tiger base on the western coast of Sri Lanka. Vidattaltivu is strategically important for the LTTE to smuggle arms and fuel from south India into Sri Lanka and the landing point at Vidattaltivu, when compared to any other sea landing point, is unique because it is like a natural harbour. Therefore, the LTTE would not have vacated Vidattaltivu without a fight. The LTTE leadership knows very well that if Vidattaltivu is lost the morale of the LTTE cadres would be affected and the supply from south India paralysed. The loss of Vidattaltivu is a clear signal that the LTTE does not have the capability to hold ground because the SL Army offensive is very strong and the Tigers are not able to utilise their limited and inexperienced cadres to face the Army on five fronts.

The 58 Division in North Mannar had linked with the 57 Division in Vavuniya. This link is definitely disadvantageous for the LTTE because the Army will be in a position to advance further into the area controlled by the Tigers.

LTTE HQ at Kilinochchi is likely to be within Artillery range soon. 57 Division commanded by Maj. Gen. Jagath Dias is heading towards the Tiger bastion at Kilinochchi. The 57 Division kicked off its offensive from Periyathampani and captured Madhu. After capturing Madhu, troops consolidated their positions and advanced further north. The territory captured by 57 Division is now held by the newly established holding Division- 61 Division, commanded by Maj. Gen. S.W.L. Daulagala.

57 Division comprises of three Brigades. 571 Brigade has advanced from Periyamadhu to the A32 Mannar-Pooneryn Road through one of the most fortified Tiger territories and its main task was to cut off the main supply route to the Tigers from Vidattaltivu to the rest of the region. 572 Brigade has to advance to Tunukkai. At the moment, troops belonging to 572 Brigade are stationed near Tunukkai south at Oddankulam. Oddankulam to Tunukkai is 4 kms of open land with chena cultivation and grass.

An officer at the battlefront said “Although the land is open, it is not an obstacle to our operations, as the Army is very experienced in conducting night operations with much success”. The turning point in ‘Eelam War IV’ is likely to be when the Army captures Tunukkai, because Mallavi is only 4.5 kms from Tunukkai and from Mallavi to Kilinochchi is roughly 30 kms. From Mallavi, Kilinochchi falls within Artillery range. 130 mm Artillery could fire shells a distance of 20 kms. In addition, Mallavi is very important to the LTTE, because the LTTE joint operations command, conference halls, and leaders’ meetings are at Mallavi. Meanwhile, troops of 57 Division have led extensive ground assaults on LTTE positions, penetrating along the Tunukkai-Mallavi-Mankulam main road, killing seven Tigers and wounding two others, according to reports. Six soldiers were also reported to be wounded in the confrontations reported in the general areas east of Pandiyankulam, Kuttimulai, Parappukkal and Karavedivembu. Troops are conducting day and night offensives to reach Mallavi, while the LTTE is putting up stiff resistance.

The LTTE is well aware that when troops reach Mallavi, its assets and joint operations headquarters would be forced to shift from Mallavi to Kilinochchi, and LTTE cadres ordered to confront the troops. The LTTE still does not possess 130mm, 152mm, 122mm Artillery shells and 81 mm mortars. However, the Tigers are limiting their use, reserving them for their final battle. Most of the cadres on the battlefront are new recruits, while the well-trained cadres are still in Mullaitivu and Kilinochchi preparing for their most crucial battle in Eelam War history. Meanwhile, Task Force 2 operates west of the A9 road at Palamotte, Kalmadu and Navvi and is advancing further north. In the Wanni theatre, on the Vavuniya front, clashes between Tigers and troops are reported in Pandiyankulam, Navvi and Palamoddai areas. Several confrontations are reported in the Navvi area.

LTTE strategy to counter Military offensive
As I mentioned on July 9, the LTTE is following its well-known strategy to stop the military offensive. It is forcibly inducting civilians in LTTE-controlled areas and giving them two weeks training in arms, and sending them to the battlefront. The LTTE leadership has ordered that every civilian below 50 years of age and children above 10 should undergo military training and then go to the battlefront The LTTE still does have large quantities of explosives (C4 and TNT). At the moment, even children are forced to help in the manufacturing of ‘johnny’ mines, IEDs, land mines and anti-tank mines. Two boys, 17 and 18 years, were reportedly killed in an accidental explosion while manufacturing bombs, a source from Kilinochchi said. The LTTE does not handed over the bodies of such children to their parents. Not only that, even bodies of LTTE child cadres killed in battle are not hand over to their parents because arrival of such bodies in their territory, demoralises the rest of the cadres. This writer has witnessed fresh graves of bodies buried in the Mannar cemetery (Rice Bowl area). To discredit the Sri Lanka Army and Air Force internationally, and influence the international community to stop the military offensive, the LTTE is reportedly planning to conduct a most cruel and barbarian tactic, a source from Kilinochchi said. Accordingly, when the Air Force bombs an LTTE military installation, the LTTE is reportedly planning to blast a powerful bomb targeting civilians and then blame the Air Force. The LTTE will try to explode bombs in Colombo or other parts of the country to create unease and hope that soldiers from the battlefront would be diverted to the affected areas. LTTE Peace Secretariat head Nadesan, has issued a statement that the LTTE would like to go for peace talks. This is its well-known tactic when it is militarily weak. It is very clear that the LTTE is in a difficult position and wants to regroup and rearm as history shows. The latest statement from Nadesan is that, the LTTE has declared a unilateral ceasefire for the duration of the SAARC Summit.

The reason for this is they want to impress the International community that, their interest in peace and for the International community to put pressure on the Government to go ahead with the peace talks. This is another strategy to avert war against LTTE. Whenever the LTTE faces defeat, Prabhakaran asks for a ceasefire and sends his peace delegation for talks with the Sri Lanka Government. The LTTE delegation visits foreign countries and engages in propaganda, while dragging the peace process by imposing impossible conditions for the Sri Lanka Government to fulfill.

During which time the LTTE trains its cadres and smuggles weapons. When the Tigers are well established, they repeat their unacceptable conditions and the country goes back to war. This is what the LTTE has been doing for the past 25 years. The LTTE international wing is lobbying human rights organisations and legislators in certain countries urging a stoppage to the military offensives. With its heavy influence in Tamil Nadu, the LTTE has two pro-LTTE politicians in Vaiko and Nedumaran. As a result of this influence, Vaiko was persuaded to fly to the United States and meet USA Presidential candidate Barack Obama.

The LTTE even tried to fund Hilary Clinton’s Presidential campaign, which she later rejected. A group of lawyers based in the US, are regularly lobbying human rights organisations, while there are some Sinhalese living in the US reportedly backing these lawyers for financial gain.

 

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