Wednesday, October 15, 2008

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Upsurge in demand for Ceylon Teas from the Middle East

There is resurgence in the demand for Ceylon Teas from the Middle Eastern countries. Higher Oil income and rising economic growth have generated increased consumer spending, resulting in an upsurge in tea imports by these countries. The exports of Ceylon Tea to some of the selected countries of the Region are shown below.

Although some of these countries channel part of their imports to neighbouring Middle East countries, it has to be reckoned that overall; the Middle East Region has substantially increased the off-take of Ceylon teas this year. Russia / CIS countries continue to be the largest importers of Ceylon Teas. However, there has been no notable increase in the volume of their off-take this year as compared with last year.

An analysis of the volume and value of teas exported during the first eight months of this year indicate that the Tea Industry has now moved up to a higher growth path. During this period, tea exports grew by 10% over the same period last year. Most importantly, the earnings generated by these exports totaled Rs.95 billion, which is 38% higher compared with the earnings of the corresponding period last year. This record performance is the combined effort by all stakeholders of the industry, supported and facilitated by the Sri Lanka Tea Board and other Government Agencies connected with the Tea Sector. There has been price decline in low-grown tea in the last few weeks. Industry circles attribute this as merely a correction of the unduly high prices fetched by these teas in the previous month.

Tea consumption
The International Tea Committee Bulletin for 2008, published recently in London, shows that the consumption of tea per head in India and China lags far behind Sri Lanka’s annual consumption of 1.39 Kilograms per head. Although China is showing a steady increase in her domestic consumption of tea, India’s consumption is virtually stagnant as shown by the following statistics:-

These statistics clearly demonstrate that there is considerable potential for domestic promotion of tea in India. If India can drink an extra cup of tea per day, tea will rank as one of the most remunerative commodities in the world.

Global financial crisis
It seems that the economies of United States and EU countries are heading for a serious downturn. Will this have an adverse impact on Sri Lanka Tea prices? From Sri Lanka’s perspective, it would appear that Sri Lanka Tea Industry may be able to weather this storm. The United States and EU countries absorb only 10% of Sri Lanka’s total tea exports. Hence, the recession in those countries may have only a limited impact on Ceylon Tea prices. However, if the current financial crisis extends to Russia and CIS countries, tea prices may be affected. It is noteworthy that commodity prices are generally coming down in the global market. Tea is still holding. The lurking fear is whether tea will follow the trend of the prices of other commodities. More than the financial turmoil in USA and Europe, the developing concern for the Tea Industry in Sri Lanka, is the high inflation compared with our competitors. This will push up our production costs. Being a small country with limited domestic demand for tea, rising production costs may make our tea products uncompetitive in the world markets.

Budget 2009
As the Budget for 2009 is round the corner, industry circles expect the government to introduce fiscal incentives to cushion the rising costs of production to enable the Ceylon Tea products to withstand global competition. An outstanding pressing issue has been the taxation on the income derived from exports of value-added, branded tea products.

The government policy framework exempts the processing and export of primary agriculture produce from income tax for five years. Within the ambit of this policy guideline, income tax on exports of teabags has been exempted last year. Industry circles have made representations that the same fiscal incentive be extended for value added packeted tea products in next year’s Budget.

(The writer was a former Deputy Director at the Sri Lanka Tea Board. This new column will appear monthly in The Bottom Line.)

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